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Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Musetti vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Musetti 3 - 0 Arnaldi

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Musetti has won 50.64% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 51.67%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Musetti, in recent form, has won 51.19% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 48.89%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.28% and 31.11% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Musetti has saved 55.79% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 62.65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Musetti has won 51.47% of matches played (W/L 35/ 33), with Arnaldi winning 62.69% (W/L 42/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Musetti has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 114/ 65), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 48% (W/L 29/ 32). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 4/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Musetti has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50% of matches (W/L 16/ 16), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 60.71% of matches (W/L 17/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Musetti winning 3 times and Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Musetti winning 6 and Arnaldi winning 1. The last match between Musetti and Arnaldi was at the Nordea Open - Bastad, 19-07-2023, Second, Clay with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 6-3 4-6 7-6(6).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:46:53.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Musetti and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 1 times, with Musetti winning 1 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Musetti winning 1, and Arnaldi 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Musetti has played against opponents with an average rank of 179.69 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 166.33.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Musetti has won 61% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 52% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Musetti has converted 39.54% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 37.09% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Lorenzo Musetti

6

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

2

Minor

30

Rank

15

High

22

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

0

0

Hard

0

3

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

35

Rank

34

High

23

Age

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

3

Total

0

0

Hard

0

3

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W W L W W W L W

Form

L W L W L W W W L W

57% (196-146)

Career Total W/L

63% (207-119)

54% (21-18)

YTD W/L

59% (20-14)

$2,960,980

Career Prize Money

$1,505,585

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Musetti VS Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Lorenzo Musetti Matteo Arnaldi
All H2H Matches 3 0
Sets Won 6 1
Games Won 41 25
Aces (Total) 8 5
DFs Total 6 15
Avg Match Time 1:46:53 1:46:53
1st Serve % 60% (120/199) 58% (134/231)
1st Serve Win% 74% (89/120) 61% (82/134)
2nd Serve Win% 57% (45/79) 47% (46/97)
BPs Won% (Total) 44% (11/25) 25% (3/12)
Return Points W% 45% (103/231) 33% (65/199)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (3/3) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (3/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (3/0)

Musetti VS Arnaldi H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 4-6 7-6(6)
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
56% ( 49 of 87)
1st Serve %
61% ( 68 of 112)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
78% ( 38 of 49)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 43 of 68)
47% ( 18 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
36% ( 31 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 47 of 112)
103
Total Points Won
96
6-4 6-4
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 42 of 66)
1st Serve %
57% ( 43 of 75)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 29 of 43)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 20 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 30 of 75)
76
Total Points Won
65
6-2 6-0
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
63% ( 29 of 46)
1st Serve %
52% ( 23 of 44)
1
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
72% ( 21 of 29)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
30% ( 14 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
58
Total Points Won
32

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Lorenzo Musetti Matteo Arnaldi
YTD W/L 54% (21/18) 59% (20/14)
Sets Win/Loss 54% (51/44) 57% (51/38)
Games Win/Loss 50% (468/464) 52% (454/427)
Hard Win/Loss 46% (6/7) 56% (10/8)
Clay Win/Loss 56% (10/8) 60% (9/6)
Indoor Hard W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 80% (4/1) 100% (1/0)
Aces pg 0.23 0.57
Aces Total 107 244
DFs per game 0.13 0.23
DFs Total 60 101
Avg Match Time 1:58:12 2:10:16
Avg Opp Rank 199.82 182.53
1st Serve % 63% (1879/2965) 57% (1649/2905)
1st Serve W% 70% (1314/1879) 71% (1171/1649)
2nd Serve W% 51% (550/1086) 52% (649/1256)
BPs Won% Total 40% (104/263) 37% (102/275)
Return Pts W% 38% (1125/2990) 38% (1078/2848)
Slam W/L 60% (3/2) 67% (4/2)
Masters W/L 50% (5/5) 55% (6/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 44% (7/9) 60% (9/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 75% (6/2) 50% (1/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 52% (17/33) 56% (15/27)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 67% (4/6)
TBs Win% (Total) 63% (12/19) 63% (10/16)
Deciding Set W% 50% (4/8) 47% (7/15)
1st set W, W 94% (18/17) 74% (19/14)
1st set W, L 6% (18/1) 26% (19/5)
1st set L, W 19% (21/4) 36% (14/5)

Lorenzo Musetti Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Alex De Minaur
60% ( 61 of 102)
1st Serve %
54% ( 35 of 65)
7
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
2
72% ( 44 of 61)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 29 of 35)
32% ( 13 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 12 of 30)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
44% ( 45 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 24 of 65)
81
Total Points Won
86
W
1-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve %
77% ( 40 of 52)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 8 of 12)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 24 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
41
L
6-4 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Alexander Bublik
57% ( 35 of 61)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 58)
4
Aces
13
2
Double Faults
6
77% ( 27 of 35)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 24 of 31)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 20 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 24 of 58)
65
Total Points Won
54
W
4-6 6-1 1-0 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Dominik Koepfer
68% ( 79 of 117)
1st Serve %
61% ( 71 of 116)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
76% ( 60 of 79)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 51 of 71)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 37 of 117)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 39 of 116)
119
Total Points Won
114
W
6-7(9) 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
73% ( 68 of 93)
1st Serve %
72% ( 77 of 107)
4
Aces
21
3
Double Faults
5
78% ( 53 of 68)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 59 of 77)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
0% ( 0 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 25 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 33 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
99
W
7-6(9) 7-6(9) H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
65% ( 90 of 139)
1st Serve %
60% ( 87 of 145)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
69% ( 62 of 90)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 51 of 87)
49% ( 24 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 30 of 58)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 5 of 5)
38% ( 53 of 139)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 64 of 145)
150
Total Points Won
134
L
7-5 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Gael Monfils
64% ( 62 of 97)
1st Serve %
69% ( 51 of 74)
2
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 46 of 62)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
51% ( 18 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
34% ( 33 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 74)
96
Total Points Won
75
W
7-5 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Daniel Elahi Galan
65% ( 53 of 82)
1st Serve %
58% ( 60 of 104)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
87% ( 46 of 53)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 37 of 60)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
24% ( 20 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 104)
106
Total Points Won
80
W
6-3 6-3 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Francesco Passaro
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64% ( 42 of 66)
1st Serve %
67% ( 41 of 61)
5
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 12 of 20)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
32% ( 21 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 24 of 61)
69
Total Points Won
58
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
68% ( 34 of 50)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
88% ( 28 of 32)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 20 of 34)
41% ( 7 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
29% ( 14 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
39
W
6-1 6-3 H2H

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Ugo Humbert
54% ( 49 of 90)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
9
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
1
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 27 of 86)
89
Total Points Won
87
W
3-6 6-1 7-6(6) H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
66% ( 77 of 116)
1st Serve %
58% ( 88 of 151)
7
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
2
74% ( 57 of 77)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 57 of 88)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
24% ( 5 of 21)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 38 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 64 of 151)
142
Total Points Won
125
L
3-6 7-6(4) 6-2 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
W
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexandre Muller
55% ( 65 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 87)
11
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 45 of 65)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
43% ( 23 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
14% ( 3 of 21)
43% ( 51 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 48 of 87)
116
Total Points Won
90
W
6-4 6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
63% ( 71 of 112)
1st Serve %
64% ( 64 of 100)
5
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
41% ( 46 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 49 of 100)
115
Total Points Won
97
W
6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53% ( 37 of 70)
1st Serve %
60% ( 51 of 85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
83
Total Points Won
72
L
6-2 2-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45% ( 25 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
L
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53% ( 57 of 107)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
56% ( 28 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 39 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 89)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
79
L
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H

Musetti Vs Arnaldi Prediction H2H Images To Share

More tennis photos of Musetti are available here and Arnaldi photos here.


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